Neighbours on the league table, Wolfsburg and Borussia Mönchengladbach, head into the final round of the first leg with identical points (both on 24). Each side is eager to move into the European competition zone, so they will likely take risks on the opposition's half, creating plenty of chances.
In Saturday's clash against Hoffenheim (1:0), Wolfsburg played surprisingly cautiously, which helped them end a two-match losing streak. They boast the best shooting efficiency in the Bundesliga — with 25.03 xG, they have netted 33 goals (only three teams have scored more in the tournament). At home, though, Wolfsburg concede quite a bit (18 goals against in eight games), yet their matches here consistently deliver entertainment — with over 2.5 goals occurring six times.
Last weekend, Borussia Mönchengladbach put on a solid defensive display against Bayern Munich (0:1), nearly securing a draw. However, they allowed 3.27 xGA, including a penalty converted by Harry Kane, as Bayern fired 23 shots in 90 minutes in Mönchengladbach. Borussia rank third from the bottom in the league regarding expected goals against (31.22).
Favouring Borussia before their visit to Wolfsburg is their head-to-head history — they remain unbeaten in 10 consecutive games here (six wins and four draws). There’s no doubt that the opponents will provide each other with numerous attacking opportunities — as both enjoy playing open football.
